gx51123
0x00a42dfcf6ea2786c12d8551a8c2cfda59d61297
- Realised P&L
- $-719.26
- Volume
- $23.8k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $19.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $9.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $9.96 | −$0.03 |
| Oilers vs. Wild · Oilers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.02 |
| Dota 2: Kalmychata vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) · VP.Prodigy | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.96 |
| Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Tomas Etcheverry · Etcheverry | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$649.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.63at 0.460Warriors vs. Suns
- +$91.83at 0.460Canucks vs. Rangers
- +$6.16at 0.500Suns vs. Spurs
- +$4.17at 0.943Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.989Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 15:35 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-04 15:35 | Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-16 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 09-01 13:34 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $68.62 |
| 08-19 13:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-19 13:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.95 |
| 08-19 13:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 14:57 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |
| 07-17 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-17 15:17 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $11.92 |
| 07-17 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |