kurtlee001
0x009f4eb8aa4d075b734289c64739a7ad086af7ab
- Realised P&L
- $-107.67
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $4.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? · No | 0.600 | 0.435 | $3.48 | −$1.32 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12? · No | 0.510 | 0.075 | $0.68 | −$3.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.22at 0.071Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 4?
- +$41.35at 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26?
- +$38.10at 0.045Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?
- +$37.69at 0.047Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?
- +$34.35at 0.060Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.59 |
| 10-12 02:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.80 |
| 08-18 23:27 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.38 |
| 08-18 18:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |
| 08-18 18:16 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $7.47 |
| 08-17 07:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.943375 | $7.55 |
| 08-13 12:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 08-12 20:06 | Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.936 | $7.49 |
| 08-12 19:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 08-12 01:25 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.501 | $4.01 |
| 08-11 08:13 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 08-11 07:11 | Will Alfredo Gaspar be the VP candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro? | BUY | 0.941 | $7.53 |
| 08-10 00:25 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 08-10 00:00 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 08-09 17:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |