sdjungt
0x009d1caebb125137f74f0ad074f5942197ced73f
- Realised P&L
- $-80.46
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $209.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.984 | 0.986 | $140.28 | +$0.28 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.978 | $69.12 | −$0.88 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.977 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.37at 0.950Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$15.20at 0.908Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$14.69at 0.405Liverpool wins the Premier League?
- +$13.10at 0.969Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?
- +$10.94at 0.872Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:40 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $70.00 |
| 09-18 07:40 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.9839999984 | $140.00 |
| 08-21 05:50 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31? | BUY | 0.9959999928 | $70.00 |
| 08-21 05:49 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999933 | $141.00 |
| 07-20 02:41 | Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9874649403 | $110.00 |
| 07-20 02:40 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.9848370544 | $90.00 |
| 06-24 06:26 | LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In | BUY | 0.95 | $60.00 |
| 06-16 02:13 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9379999909 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 02:12 | IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.9569999997 | $50.00 |
| 06-16 02:10 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $188.00 |
| 06-16 02:08 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9439102562 | $155.00 |
| 05-02 12:04 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May? | BUY | 0.9919999989 | $290.00 |
| 05-02 12:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 06:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9799999995 | $220.00 |
| 04-02 06:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.9649999991 | $260.00 |