0x00980209c316d8dad0a4878a4aeaba0a9d43553a
0x00980209c316d8dad0a4878a4aeaba0a9d43553a
- Realised P&L
- $0.35
- Volume
- $11.31
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.912 | 0.908 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.235 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| World Grand Prix: Luke Littler vs Luke Woodhouse · Luke Littler | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.82at 0.555World Grand Prix: Wessel Nijman vs Rob Cross
- +$0.54at 0.655World Grand Prix: Ross Smith vs Cameron Menzies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:18 | World Grand Prix: Luke Littler vs Luke Woodhouse | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:17 | World Grand Prix: Wessel Nijman vs Rob Cross | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 10:17 | World Grand Prix: Ross Smith vs Cameron Menzies | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:05 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.911999358 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |