ImOldBruceWayne
0x0097af953cf4441427142b5da7ac20ab69044a1d
- Realised P&L
- $87.3k
- Volume
- $1.81M
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $28.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.033 | $28.38 | −$31.82 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$647.01 |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.74 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.1kat 0.146Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$3.9kat 0.555Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.7kat 0.302Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$2.2kat 0.483Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.2kat 0.090Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 19:36 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.849452363 | $1.9k |
| 10-28 07:36 | Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | SELL | 0.027 | $7.20 |
| 10-25 08:03 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1830353251 | $214.15 |
| 10-25 08:01 | Will Kylian Mbappé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.2981666667 | $178.90 |
| 10-25 08:01 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.0613153125 | $98.10 |
| 10-25 07:21 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1259117497 | $647.01 |
| 10-25 07:21 | Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.15 | $503.05 |
| 10-24 14:00 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.088 | $176.00 |
| 10-24 13:59 | Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.166441129 | $390.58 |
| 10-24 13:09 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.1512991004 | $397.60 |
| 10-21 18:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2928959092 | $290.58 |
| 10-21 18:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.525 | $290.59 |
| 10-21 18:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2869862695 | $67.74 |
| 10-21 18:38 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.084 | $67.74 |
| 10-21 18:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2645325534 | $256.25 |