PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0086154aa65bff7657893703bfea7a7deed35b87

Realised P&L
$-232.82
Volume
$271.9k
Markets traded
933
Open portfolio
$39.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded933
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0050.101$4.70+$4.47
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0060.024$4.00+$3.00
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0090.054$1.51+$1.26
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.002$1.50+$0.50
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0080.009$1.19+$0.19
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0070.006$0.93$0.07
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0040.015$0.91+$0.66
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.025$0.87+$0.62
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0070.006$0.86$0.14
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.003$0.83$0.17
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0080.006$0.75$0.25
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0040.003$0.62$0.38
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0050.003$0.60$0.40
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 23:32Will Jude Bellingham be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 22:51Will Leavitt say "Ten-Point Plan" during the next White House press briefing?BUY0.001$0.99
04-15 22:31Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 22:31Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League final?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:50Will Adam Lowry win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?BUY0.001$0.20
04-15 21:50Will T.J. McConnell win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?BUY0.001$0.16
04-15 21:29Will Sam Montembeault win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?BUY0.001$0.35
04-15 21:28Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:28Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:28Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:28Will Sporting CP score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:28Will de Goes Rodrygo be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:08Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:08Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 21:08Will Joey Daccord win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?BUY0.001$0.47
Trader 0x0086…5b87 · PolyBot