mmtester
0x007f8859f160bbf6a25c0a78721c741f3537e3ad
- Realised P&L
- $-411.84
- Volume
- $54.3k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.27at 0.694Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$96.00at 0.680Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$45.00at 0.550Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$43.35at 0.711Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$40.83at 0.720Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 02:11 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.4299999928 | $33.00 |
| 06-25 03:15 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.641999995 | $33.00 |
| 04-11 05:32 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.7199999997 | $105.00 |
| 04-11 05:31 | Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9877868923 | $101.00 |
| 04-08 01:47 | Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8599999963 | $120.00 |
| 03-07 07:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $136.00 |
| 03-01 18:42 | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 02-28 07:30 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9 | $15.41 |
| 02-11 14:55 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.68 | $204.00 |
| 02-10 17:36 | Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $18.86 |
| 02-08 05:53 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $4.74 |
| 02-08 05:48 | Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.617745098 | $63.01 |
| 02-08 05:42 | Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $111.00 |
| 02-07 08:19 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8099999935 | $51.00 |
| 02-07 08:18 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7869489365 | $301.00 |