PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tuikdtgdr

0x007b595dfc79747de962b5fb8761416616554883

Realised P&L
$493.72
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$852.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.2600.560$852.87+$456.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 02:32Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.995$283.57
06-28 12:07Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.992$282.72
05-23 01:52Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.035$28.35
05-23 01:51Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.035$23.73
05-23 01:50Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.035$23.03
05-23 01:48Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.035$26.67
05-23 01:35Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.035$29.93
05-16 02:17Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.043$34.83
05-16 02:16Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.043$29.15
05-16 01:55Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.043$28.29
05-16 01:54Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.043$32.77
04-24 11:11Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.677$329.69
04-17 07:10Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.5759999992$280.51
03-30 02:33Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.4$378.80