tuikdtgdr
0x007b595dfc79747de962b5fb8761416616554883
- Realised P&L
- $493.72
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $852.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.560 | $852.87 | +$456.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.19at 0.576Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$17.75at 0.810Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.725Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.85at 0.992Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-3.79at 0.400Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 02:32 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.995 | $283.57 |
| 06-28 12:07 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.992 | $282.72 |
| 05-23 01:52 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $28.35 |
| 05-23 01:51 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $23.73 |
| 05-23 01:50 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $23.03 |
| 05-23 01:48 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $26.67 |
| 05-23 01:35 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.035 | $29.93 |
| 05-16 02:17 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $34.83 |
| 05-16 02:16 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $29.15 |
| 05-16 01:55 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $28.29 |
| 05-16 01:54 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $32.77 |
| 04-24 11:11 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.677 | $329.69 |
| 04-17 07:10 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5759999992 | $280.51 |
| 03-30 02:33 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $378.80 |