marakkos
0x007a6004c599a178121121bda73007ee72eaec46
- Realised P&L
- $14.36
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $81.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · No | 0.940 | 0.835 | $45.09 | −$5.67 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.973 | 0.981 | $36.33 | +$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.78at 0.910Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
- +$1.32at 0.976Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
- +$1.16at 0.935Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
- +$0.95at 0.981Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
- +$0.87at 0.946Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 12:31 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $21.62 |