Nomorepredict
0x00726335905c5422b464e962b851208a3c633d75
- Realised P&L
- $-114.6k
- Volume
- $6.65M
- Markets traded
- 445
- Open portfolio
- $73.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded445
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.919 | 0.814 | $29.3k | −$3.8k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.754 | 0.815 | $26.1k | +$2.0k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.526 | 0.700 | $7.0k | +$1.7k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.535 | $5.4k | +$1.9k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.630 | $3.1k | +$1.1k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.455 | $1.7k | +$734.72 |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.065 | $260.00 | −$1.4k |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.171 | $189.36 | +$137.87 |
| Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.055 | $58.71 | −$261.51 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.4k |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.222 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.7kat 0.313Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Girona FC end in a draw?
- +$12.6kat 0.505LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$11.6kat 0.388Spurs vs. Hornets
- +$10.5kat 0.725LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
- +$9.1kat 0.727Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 20:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.905 | $22.88 |
| 07-13 20:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3573009727 | $928.97 |
| 07-09 19:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.372015727 | $709.64 |
| 07-08 17:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.195 | $2.3k |
| 07-08 17:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $4.9k |
| 07-07 02:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5898648649 | $218.25 |
| 07-06 17:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5315799572 | $357.41 |
| 07-06 17:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6069322889 | $4.1k |
| 06-10 15:24 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.968 | $484.00 |
| 05-29 21:11 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.79492 | $397.46 |
| 05-22 14:30 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.9k |
| 05-22 07:51 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.6446262 | $322.31 |
| 05-19 13:58 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $135.99 |
| 05-19 13:57 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $748.00 |
| 04-28 07:00 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.38 |