PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Simen1

0x0071dc4329b8ea5f6619b83ad46d3e3d0e97b510

Realised P&L
$2.12
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$7.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.4680.235$7.53−$7.47
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2360.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Down0.1180.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00−$3.00
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Harry Kane: 1+ goals · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goals · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 12:40Will Norway win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4681404373$15.00
09-26 13:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.3$3.00
09-24 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.8$3.00
09-23 20:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.2$1.00
09-23 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8499999717$3.00
09-23 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8499999717$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8599999828$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8599999828$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8599999828$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8599999828$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.8699999652$3.00
09-23 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.9199999877$3.00
09-23 10:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-23 10:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-23 10:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY0.3$3.00