Montoro
0x00676e65ae7d7516bc085975a3c67e873c5a4dfb
- Realised P&L
- $-66.06
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $34.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.555 | $25.23 | +$5.23 |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.245 | $7.11 | −$0.43 |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.505 | $2.29 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.91at 0.325Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.46at 0.480Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
- +$5.52at 0.190Will Russia capture Toretske by April 30, 2026?
- +$4.73at 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
- +$3.88at 0.706Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:48 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.90 |
| 09-13 02:47 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.68 |
| 09-13 02:47 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.23 |
| 09-07 00:04 | Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $7.54 |
| 09-07 00:04 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.9647315341 | $6.79 |
| 09-06 02:52 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099998694 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 00:53 | Will Russia enter Hannivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999582 | $3.33 |
| 08-09 00:44 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.33 |
| 07-23 06:06 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | BUY | 0.5552340255 | $9.32 |
| 07-23 05:37 | Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 05:37 | Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 05:33 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | BUY | 0.4399999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 04:55 | Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 04:48 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $12.46 |
| 07-23 04:47 | Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30? | SELL | 0.9709923547 | $6.35 |