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Traders

timo1998

0x0059861488e8c991366a6098499fa8159c6ef398

Realised P&L
$-434.57
Volume
$27.7k
Markets traded
269
Open portfolio
$8.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded269
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0060.014$6.49+$3.49
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0050.005$1.10+$0.10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3700.065$0.35$1.65
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.30$0.70
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.1400.015$0.11$0.89
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$3.00
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$5.00
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.2980.000$0.00$25.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00$72.90
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$2.00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$1.00
Iran leadership change by March 13? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 15:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-11 15:53Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
03-11 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.0891088315$1.00
03-11 15:51Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.1$4.98
03-11 15:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
03-11 15:48Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.2599998648$0.98
03-11 15:47Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETBUY0.2293720197$4.92
03-11 15:44Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026?SELL0.008$1.63
03-11 15:43Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.2890043221$3.92
03-11 15:43Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.3490001632$4.87
03-11 15:41Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.279000185$5.26
03-11 15:38Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
03-11 15:38Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.1497035629$4.96
03-11 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.239999856$0.98
03-11 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.3499463392$4.87