Burrows6
0x0051160bf2f1447c153edaaeee9484193c8ac6e6
- Realised P&L
- $-190.92
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.115 | $2.29 | +$0.49 |
| Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5) · Al Riyadh Saudi Club | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.28 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5) · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.64 |
| Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5) · Fatih Karagümrük SK | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.88at 0.940Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
- +$0.92at 0.981Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.880Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
- +$0.00at 0.044Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
- +$-0.09at 0.057Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:55 | Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $451.26 |
| 07-10 07:24 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $325.60 |
| 05-27 04:46 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 05-27 04:45 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $661.76 |
| 04-30 06:51 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $5.04 |
| 04-30 06:51 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $28.44 |
| 04-30 06:51 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.057 | $28.16 |
| 04-29 05:48 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.74 |
| 04-29 05:48 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $10.46 |
| 04-29 05:47 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $10.44 |
| 04-29 05:12 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.32 |
| 04-29 05:10 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.39 |
| 04-27 08:27 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $20.64 |
| 04-27 08:26 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $19.84 |