ypy620
0x0050cec094aa67325c97c9d382f8fc3650f0ed47
- Realised P&L
- $35.08
- Volume
- $24.0k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $74.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.400 | $74.96 | −$24.36 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.65at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$151.74at 0.592Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?
- +$112.22at 0.487Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$78.01at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$76.22at 0.728Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 20:07 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5 | BUY | 0.5299999983 | $99.32 |
| 07-28 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 00:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $3.06 |
| 07-28 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $1.04 |
| 07-28 00:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:47 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 17:47 | Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.55 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 07:42 | Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.5799999997 | $215.80 |
| 06-25 03:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $61.10 |
| 06-25 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 01:54 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.98 | $223.56 |
| 06-12 07:08 | Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.48 | $109.50 |