0x0048c054d0306c3084f7eda54d5900d3814ccb3b
0x0048c054d0306c3084f7eda54d5900d3814ccb3b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.11
- Volume
- $198.42
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $13.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 9?
- +$0.47at 0.806Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in September?
- +$0.47at 0.806Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?
- +$0.46at 0.811Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
- +$0.39at 0.836Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2699999647 | $1.91 |
| 10-05 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.90 |
| 10-05 05:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.8799999821 | $1.97 |
| 10-04 15:49 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.669999945 | $1.95 |
| 10-04 15:49 | Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.9299999858 | $1.97 |
| 10-04 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.3703061036 | $1.91 |
| 10-04 14:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6699998584 | $1.94 |
| 10-04 14:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.6799999299 | $1.94 |
| 09-18 17:21 | Will Solana reach $130 in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.95 |
| 09-14 14:51 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in September? | BUY | 0.8399999829 | $1.96 |
| 09-14 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.3691911765 | $2.01 |
| 09-14 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.3508162907 | $1.91 |
| 09-09 14:50 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.3699999399 | $1.91 |
| 09-09 13:46 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.96 |