GoldmanForts
0x0047a7bf3f7366c88453fe18587c8bfd9fd34575
- Realised P&L
- $-5.1k
- Volume
- $99.7k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.839 | 0.680 | $4.0k | −$943.13 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.866 | 1.000 | $1.51 | +$0.20 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs · Spirit | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs · Team Falcons | 0.607 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$480.00 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.1k |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$735.90at 0.734US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$73.14at 0.290Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
- +$19.26at 0.807US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$-77.28at 0.370US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 13:57 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8411573249 | $3.9k |
| 10-28 13:57 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9823513694 | $3.9k |
| 10-28 13:56 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8291212188 | $1.0k |
| 10-27 16:48 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | SELL | 0.37 | $396.43 |
| 10-27 16:40 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | BUY | 0.2799999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-27 16:39 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $979.00 |
| 10-22 14:08 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8663845123 | $4.3k |
| 05-28 14:58 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.2732728378 | $1.0k |
| 05-27 12:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.1k |
| 05-27 12:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $486.66 |
| 05-26 15:32 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $13.98 |
| 05-26 10:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.9199083117 | $3.6k |
| 05-24 14:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.76525 | $306.10 |
| 05-23 17:26 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $364.99 |
| 05-10 20:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $470.49 |