PolyBot

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Traders

GoldmanForts

0x0047a7bf3f7366c88453fe18587c8bfd9fd34575

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$99.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.8390.680$4.0k−$943.13
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.8661.000$1.51+$0.20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffs · Spirit0.1540.000$0.00−$200.00
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs · Team Falcons0.6070.000$0.00−$480.00
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4120.000$0.00−$4.1k
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$1.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 13:57Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8411573249$3.9k
10-28 13:57NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9823513694$3.9k
10-28 13:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8291212188$1.0k
10-27 16:48Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSELL0.37$396.43
10-27 16:40Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBUY0.2799999999$300.00
10-27 16:39NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.979$979.00
10-22 14:08NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8663845123$4.3k
05-28 14:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.2732728378$1.0k
05-27 12:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.43$1.1k
05-27 12:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?SELL0.34$486.66
05-26 15:32US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?BUY0.37$13.98
05-26 10:38US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?SELL0.9199083117$3.6k
05-24 14:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.76525$306.10
05-23 17:26US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.73$364.99
05-10 20:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.23$470.49