elenitarojas
0x00454de2061d186befa2934c060da313b655e48c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.10
- Volume
- $843.94
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $17.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.561 | $7.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.031 | $2.65 | −$2.47 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.087 | $2.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.229 | $2.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.043 | $2.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.11at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.87at 0.689Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$0.03at 0.984Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-3.72at 0.200Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-5.13at 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 13:18 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3669999608 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 13:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.103999972 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 13:18 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0579999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-20 13:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.37399998 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 22:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.38 |
| 07-19 21:58 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.063 | $1.68 |
| 07-14 22:06 | Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.0599999892 | $5.12 |
| 07-14 22:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1909999742 | $5.08 |
| 07-14 22:01 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2249999734 | $5.08 |
| 06-11 23:02 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 22:57 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999847 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 22:30 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1089999821 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 22:30 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999762 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 22:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 17:53 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.03 |