yikaizhao1998
0x00441a73991f65d0c5b9e2d3ef16c2c572eac8bb
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $73.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $277.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.023 | $277.35 | −$3.6k |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$570.00 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · No | 0.445 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$712.48at 0.834Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$-801.35at 0.276Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 08:09 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1417884347 | $570.00 |
| 05-22 08:43 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.5265435585 | $1.2k |
| 05-22 08:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.7k |
| 05-22 08:40 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.4194451097 | $2.9k |
| 05-18 02:28 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.1922729747 | $1.7k |
| 05-18 02:28 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.2831223631 | $1.4k |
| 05-18 01:00 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.3332990976 | $262.99 |
| 05-18 00:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $364.00 |
| 05-18 00:43 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.3379067551 | $891.32 |
| 05-18 00:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $455.00 |
| 05-17 13:13 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.3432175985 | $422.78 |
| 05-17 13:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $900.90 |
| 05-17 13:10 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.3357801944 | $958.96 |
| 05-17 13:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $991.90 |
| 05-16 13:19 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | BUY | 0.3210070645 | $860.04 |