bezuprechnayamiss
0x00429fd162fe64974142d137128919b1b7386f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-55.19
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.58at 0.670UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
- +$8.22at 0.820Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
- +$2.53at 0.920Will Ethereum reach $5200 in August?
- +$2.39at 0.930Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in October?
- +$2.33at 0.960Will Solana dip to $140 by January 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:32 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 09-04 21:26 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $800 on September 8? | BUY | 0.992047619 | $20.00 |
| 08-23 19:45 | Will Trump say "Red Card" in August? | BUY | 0.96 | $11.98 |
| 08-23 19:43 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $8.00 |
| 05-02 19:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 03-29 21:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9949999822 | $14.00 |
| 01-22 05:19 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January? | BUY | 0.8969999816 | $33.03 |
| 01-19 20:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.00 |
| 01-17 00:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 17? | BUY | 0.9959999975 | $40.27 |
| 01-15 23:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16? | BUY | 0.9932054329 | $40.00 |
| 01-11 17:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12? | BUY | 0.9985006352 | $45.59 |
| 01-03 06:55 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.55 |
| 12-21 23:17 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $420? | BUY | 0.9978331449 | $45.45 |
| 12-17 00:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $45.27 |
| 12-05 22:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $44.13 |