mastu
0x00429fcbdcdd66d8e909091050662eee876381e5
- Realised P&L
- $-544.76
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.005 | $1.29 | −$50.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.73at 0.560Grizzlies vs. Spurs
- +$49.01at 0.530Senators vs. Kraken
- +$0.46at 0.978Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$-0.12at 0.999Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
- +$-0.12at 0.999Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 08:20 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $8.80 |
| 06-24 08:19 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $14.30 |
| 06-24 08:19 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $17.16 |
| 06-24 08:18 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $11.44 |
| 03-27 06:25 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | SELL | 0.594 | $3.5k |
| 03-27 02:49 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | BUY | 0.635 | $9.3k |
| 01-14 03:56 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.794 | $2.8k |
| 01-13 08:12 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.797 | $2.8k |
| 01-13 07:39 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.658 | $2.8k |
| 01-13 04:06 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.667 | $2.9k |
| 10-15 08:01 | Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.9779999996 | $20.50 |
| 01-17 09:46 | Grizzlies vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.559999999 | $114.20 |
| 01-17 09:05 | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $116.51 |
| 01-17 09:04 | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.63 |
| 01-17 09:04 | Will Justin Jefferson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | SELL | 0.998 | $116.64 |