PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sportyspice

0x003bf49e4491212f997d86ab987551170cc61ebe

Realised P&L
$187.88
Volume
$31.9k
Markets traded
272
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded272
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1950.842$475.04+$364.68
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.3770.947$251.08+$151.08
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4100.974$226.35+$131.07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6700.825$80.28+$15.08
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.953$69.12+$7.47
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6000.305$31.38−$30.35
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6800.974$24.91+$7.51
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.4800.275$24.02−$17.91
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.430$20.73−$4.82
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.235$16.13+$5.83
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1740.032$13.07−$57.89
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1500.225$12.74+$4.25
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.3200.305$9.15−$0.45
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.1900.063$1.77−$3.62
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.070$0.87+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 14:34Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.48$41.93
08-19 20:27Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.15$8.50
08-19 19:48Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.15$0.54
08-10 07:54Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.19$0.06
08-10 07:19Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.32$9.60
08-10 07:11Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.32$0.15
08-04 15:19Squid FDV above $75M one day after launchBUY0.1$1.06
07-22 00:12Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5BUY0.54$59.90
07-22 00:12Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)BUY0.54$59.90
07-21 00:11Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5BUY0.42$2.10
07-20 02:04NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State WarriorsBUY0.71$28.40
07-19 18:08Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerBUY0.56$59.31
07-19 16:55Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersBUY0.69$58.79
07-19 16:48Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersBUY0.69$58.78
07-19 15:11Estoril Open, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Timofey SkatovBUY0.17$64.05