jjojo33
0x003b8214bf5cf296a16652042f8736890c92d3aa
- Realised P&L
- $79.44
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $208.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.865 | 0.958 | $125.40 | +$12.06 |
| Will The Odyssey rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.905 | $83.27 | +$0.46 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.16 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.29 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.02 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.97at 0.686Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- +$60.35at 0.906Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$41.00at 0.590Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$11.23at 0.913Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
- +$9.85at 0.823Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:53 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.06 | $8.85 |
| 09-14 19:14 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.41 |
| 09-13 21:31 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.999 | $453.77 |
| 09-13 21:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 09-13 19:54 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.28 | $99.97 |
| 09-09 13:30 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-09 13:30 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.7265087307 | $140.00 |
| 09-09 13:29 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.989 | $149.73 |
| 09-09 13:20 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 09-09 13:17 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-09 13:16 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.64 | $33.92 |
| 09-07 19:00 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats? | BUY | 0.6 | $53.20 |
| 08-14 14:51 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.15 | $107.11 |
| 07-06 20:13 | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.35 | $6.92 |
| 07-06 18:51 | Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $11.87 |