valensp
0x003675f1ee692d1ab65b8d2517ea5a9cab2ddf65
- Realised P&L
- $233.26
- Volume
- $182.5k
- Markets traded
- 356
- Open portfolio
- $78.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded356
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$527.89at 0.065Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$232.12at 0.227Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
- +$221.84at 0.182Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
- +$121.65at 0.653Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?
- +$107.76at 0.297Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.73 |
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.80 |
| 08-04 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.56 |
| 08-04 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.53 |
| 08-04 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $2.07 |
| 08-04 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.51 | $3.57 |
| 08-04 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.69 | $7.59 |
| 08-04 18:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.33 |
| 08-04 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.9 | $6.30 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 18:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.17 |
| 08-04 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.94 |