valensp
0x003675f1ee692d1ab65b8d2517ea5a9cab2ddf65
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $201.7k
- Markets traded
- 576
- Open portfolio
- $7.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded576
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$523.11at 0.068Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
- +$227.50at 0.234Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
- +$219.09at 0.189Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?
- +$117.11at 0.664Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?
- +$106.16at 0.307Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.5499999018 | $1.12 |
| 09-28 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999421 | $1.16 |
| 09-28 07:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.56 |
| 09-28 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.80 |
| 09-28 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 09-27 23:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.66 |
| 09-27 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 09-27 22:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.62 |
| 09-27 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.48 |
| 09-27 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 09-27 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 09-27 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.02 |