PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

donald98

0x003622dfc18bae8a30e3c1b4fc423dc2078239e2

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$6.8k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$25.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-72.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3? · Yes0.8400.845$15.93+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? · No0.5600.620$9.86+$0.95
Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$15.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:32Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.999$3.31
01-31 13:20Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.9969999628$20.41
01-30 12:53Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January?BUY0.999$8.84
01-30 12:49Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.997999977$16.87
01-30 12:05Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?BUY0.999$37.75
12-30 08:50Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.9989999724$17.50
12-30 00:44Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025?BUY0.998$18.87
12-29 20:10Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999835$53.07
10-31 15:17Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$21.27
09-29 09:52Russian strike on Poland by September 30?BUY0.9949999606$18.20
09-29 01:30Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.998$15.87
09-29 01:11Will XRP dip to $1.80 in September?BUY0.999$14.06
09-28 20:40Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$16.38
09-28 20:38Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.9979999662$15.34
08-31 09:17Netanyahu out by August 31?BUY0.999$10.07