RPHL21K
0x002a312bdd94ba1566db7013a7f0e463f2a339f3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.97
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET · Up | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.763Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$0.01at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:37 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:32 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.0343302164 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:09 | Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 21:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |