GobiDesertCanoePro
0x0026ca70e996c6119f9a47a425245d227dcbaef7
- Realised P&L
- $-9.2k
- Volume
- $5.60M
- Markets traded
- 541
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded541
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.050 | $4.4k | −$179.47 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.015 | $1.1k | −$613.76 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.017 | $990.00 | −$330.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.945 | $321.30 | +$8.50 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$637.89 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$432.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.854Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?
- +$10.3kat 0.075Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.1kat 0.957Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?
- +$3.1kat 0.651Will Faroe Islands win on 2025-09-08?
- +$3.1kat 0.77549ers vs. Eagles
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 21:10 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $312.80 |
| 10-26 21:08 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.925 | $18.50 |
| 10-26 21:08 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | SELL | 0.975 | $24.38 |
| 10-26 21:07 | Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 10-26 21:07 | Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.999 | $18.99 |
| 10-26 21:06 | Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 10-26 21:06 | Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.04 |
| 10-26 21:06 | Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.38 |
| 10-26 21:05 | Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.98 |
| 10-26 21:05 | Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.993 | $16.89 |
| 10-26 21:05 | Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.965 | $35.88 |
| 10-26 21:04 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.7672786741 | $52.31 |
| 09-28 13:40 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | SELL | 0.9292360902 | $308.97 |
| 09-28 13:39 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-28 13:38 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.9577191 | $957.72 |