0x002316b5bddd4dc3075fdbcbc4593425b24588a9
0x002316b5bddd4dc3075fdbcbc4593425b24588a9
- Realised P&L
- $15.92
- Volume
- $172.81
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $61.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $28.51 | −$11.17 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.090 | $16.16 | −$8.84 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.153 | $13.71 | −$11.29 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.032 | $2.62 | −$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.92at 0.618Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:58 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by December 31? | BUY | 0.229619407 | $39.68 |