Exitliquid2069
0x001eaff14619e0697a068596f9f0d9ad79bcb3af
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $202.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.445 | $1.0k | −$1.1k |
| Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025? · No | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$523.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.5kat 0.833Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$1.8kat 0.785Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.525Linea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$1.4kat 0.783Linea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$183.46at 0.667Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:15 | Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.1k |
| 04-28 16:14 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9740067817 | $8.7k |
| 04-25 11:05 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.922 | $943.62 |
| 04-24 08:10 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.929 | $95.99 |
| 04-24 07:56 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.919 | $57.90 |
| 04-24 07:48 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9089189189 | $504.45 |
| 04-23 14:54 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 04-23 14:23 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $129.10 |
| 04-23 14:13 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6397014925 | $1.3k |
| 04-23 14:10 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5073524497 | $151.81 |
| 04-23 14:08 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $44.29 |
| 04-23 14:06 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.14 |
| 04-23 14:02 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $36.10 |
| 04-03 11:20 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $932.16 |
| 03-11 14:35 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6038560928 | $451.00 |