PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

leonfish

0x001a17688aaf15f6c78f30829c7d8aaf872b4895

Realised P&L
$-8.6k
Volume
$92.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5810.561$581.14−$20.12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.6130.605$532.40−$7.40
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6930.695$530.79+$1.58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5290.545$441.45+$12.95
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6380.605$393.25−$21.75
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6960.695$385.18−$0.77
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Team Yandex0.8510.920$202.80+$15.20
Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9? · Yes0.7690.790$191.12+$5.06
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0470.042$186.75−$24.75
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Natus Vincere0.5900.595$178.50+$1.50
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1160.116$141.43−$0.61
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0780.075$98.15−$3.25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8700.865$86.50−$0.50
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner · Team Spirit0.3180.000$0.00−$894.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 3 Winner · Team Spirit0.4030.000$0.00−$299.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 12:56Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.85$167.82
09-26 12:56Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.86$19.78
09-26 12:54Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.82$41.00
09-26 12:51Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.81$40.50
09-26 12:40Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.76$38.00
09-26 12:35Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.73$3.65
09-26 12:30Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.74$30.29
09-26 12:29Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.73$8.03
09-26 12:28Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.72$10.79
09-26 12:20Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.59$177.00
09-26 12:02Will Team Yandex win PGL Wallachia Season 9?BUY0.69$13.80
09-26 11:44Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.05$50.00
09-26 11:39Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsSELL0.8912262857$311.93
09-26 08:44Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$87.63
09-26 08:43Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.87$87.00