0x0010a023c8ed317433be6162476ce569fe76eb26
- Realised P&L
- $956.81
- Volume
- $71.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $17.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $8.5k | +$38.55 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.993 | $7.4k | +$23.05 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · No | 0.973 | 0.984 | $786.82 | +$8.40 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.892 | 0.945 | $256.32 | +$14.43 |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $44.05 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.84at 0.963Iran leadership change by August 31?
- +$303.51at 0.973Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?
- +$227.72at 0.934Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026?
- +$178.82at 0.964Iran leadership change by July 31?
- +$25.94at 0.921Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 18:48 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-07 17:01 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.8k |
| 09-07 16:57 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98923843 | $989.24 |
| 09-07 16:54 | Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $44.05 |
| 09-07 16:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-07 16:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $707.12 |
| 09-07 16:18 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.973 | $778.42 |
| 09-07 16:15 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 09-07 16:14 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 09-07 16:13 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $35.60 |
| 09-03 12:33 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $39.95 |
| 09-03 12:33 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.04 |
| 09-03 12:33 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $36.90 |
| 09-01 15:14 | Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.42 |
| 08-29 17:25 | Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $62.74 |