PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0010a023c8ed317433be6162476ce569fe76eb26

Realised P&L
$956.81
Volume
$71.7k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$17.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9900.995$8.5k+$38.55
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.9900.993$7.4k+$23.05
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9730.984$786.82+$8.40
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · No0.8920.945$256.32+$14.43
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026? · No0.9790.979$44.05+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 18:48Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$26.40
09-07 17:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.99$2.8k
09-07 16:57US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.98923843$989.24
09-07 16:54Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?BUY0.979$44.05
09-07 16:26Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.99$99.00
09-07 16:22Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.99$707.12
09-07 16:18Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.973$778.42
09-07 16:15Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
09-07 16:14Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.88$35.20
09-07 16:13Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.89$35.60
09-03 12:33Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$39.95
09-03 12:33Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.91$7.04
09-03 12:33Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9$36.90
09-01 15:14Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by August 31?SELL0.999$7.42
08-29 17:25Will USD fall to 1.8M Iranian rials by August 31?BUY0.985$62.74