0x000f36a5acd79500e3832842daf7f51bf274eb8e
- Realised P&L
- $-216.47
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $103.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? · No | 0.500 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$50.00 |
| Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.055 | $3.85 | −$25.55 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? · No | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.24 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.22 |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.39 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.12 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.29 |
| Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.520Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$-1.86at 0.532Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$-10.40at 0.520Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-29 12:26 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.234 | $5.85 |
| 01-29 12:25 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.066684057 | $23.31 |
| 01-29 11:28 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.092 | $6.44 |
| 01-29 11:17 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $20.00 |
| 01-29 11:17 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 01-29 11:15 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.0875715102 | $6.13 |
| 01-29 11:12 | Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.266 | $1.33 |
| 01-29 10:09 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $14.70 |
| 01-29 08:38 | SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.18 |
| 01-29 02:02 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 01-29 01:55 | Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | SELL | 0.39 | $31.20 |
| 01-28 22:46 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 01-28 02:49 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.532 | $49.48 |