Crypto-TomHan
0x000e82e39c383d0b810b1902545a0faf5b148f8f
- Realised P&L
- $-24.5k
- Volume
- $1.09M
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.730 | $3.6k | +$2.0k |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.23 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.446Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?
- +$3.7kat 0.443Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 5?
- +$3.5kat 0.213Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 23?
- +$3.2kat 0.280Will the price of Solana be above $80 on February 25?
- +$2.3kat 0.169Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.33 | $101.39 |
| 09-20 11:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.3297774018 | $148.15 |
| 09-20 11:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 21? | BUY | 0.3296497356 | $1.4k |
| 07-17 14:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.412 | $3.23 |
| 06-16 00:09 | IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $1.8k |
| 06-14 21:13 | Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599999944 | $19.00 |
| 06-14 04:12 | Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.62 | $19.16 |
| 06-14 03:47 | Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5499999871 | $17.00 |
| 06-14 01:40 | Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.0874733795 | $17.83 |
| 06-14 01:25 | Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.5899999985 | $120.24 |
| 06-14 01:18 | Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $124.37 |
| 06-14 00:46 | Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $167.76 |
| 06-13 23:31 | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.8111534558 | $175.81 |
| 06-13 22:28 | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6599999992 | $143.05 |
| 06-13 22:27 | Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.63 | $146.03 |