merar
0x000aecc44a787ac8b46ca2bc91856e0f0fe00520
- Realised P&L
- $-144.74
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.00at 0.310MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.00at 0.130Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$3.00at 0.120Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
- +$2.80at 0.323Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.250Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:36 | Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 05:36 | Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 09-20 05:08 | Will “Ain't in It for My Health” by Zach Top win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-20 03:16 | Will Lauren Boebert resign by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $2.50 |
| 08-27 13:18 | Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-27 05:18 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-27 04:19 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.33 |
| 07-11 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.0932355479 | $1.08 |
| 07-11 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 07-11 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 06-26 06:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 26? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.45 |
| 03-12 09:22 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.086 | $6.77 |
| 03-04 15:28 | Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.56 |