0x0004292f729670ebc29a6be9f72c2b85782f36bd
0x0004292f729670ebc29a6be9f72c2b85782f36bd
- Realised P&L
- $-6.09
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.83 | −$1.83 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $0.58 | −$1.70 |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.53 | −$0.53 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · New York Yankees | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever · Minnesota Lynx | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.25at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$-1.59at 0.006Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 03:54 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.31 |
| 09-23 02:48 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0058743394 | $2.28 |
| 09-23 02:41 | Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.06 |
| 09-23 02:39 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0015990814 | $2.66 |
| 09-23 02:38 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.63 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.001 | $1.96 |
| 09-23 02:25 | Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $1.05 |