Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.38. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.20 to 0.55. 83 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.48	70	70
0.49	15	85
0.56	40	125
0.57	145	270
0.68	50	320
0.71	150	470
0.72	5	475
0.74	42	518
0.76	29	547
0.87	8	554
0.88	240	794
0.93	400	1,194

Spread0.21Mid0.38

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	37	37
0.26	7	44
0.20	5	49
0.19	50	99
0.08	69	168
0.07	50	218
0.03	11	229
0.02	36	265
0.01	60	325

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	37	37
0.74	7	44
0.80	5	49
0.81	50	99
0.92	69	168
0.93	50	218
0.97	11	229
0.98	36	265
0.99	60	325

Spread0.21Mid0.63

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.52	70	70
0.51	15	85
0.44	40	125
0.43	145	270
0.32	50	320
0.29	150	470
0.28	5	475
0.26	42	518
0.24	29	547
0.13	8	554
0.12	240	794
0.07	400	1,194

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tradetosurvive1	Yes	40
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	3.7
AJSV	No	23.7
0xa5ef…2966	No	20
cigarettes	No	14.5
Mike123455	No	5.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:07:51	BUY	No	0.58	15	$8.41
09:07:35	BUY	No	0.62	20	$12.40
08:54:26	BUY	No	0.63	20	$12.60
08:50:41	SELL	Yes	0.35	20	$7.00
08:43:27	BUY	No	0.64	20	$12.80
07:39:56	SELL	No	0.57	16	$9.29
07:38:56	SELL	No	0.7	4	$2.59
07:38:44	BUY	Yes	0.3	36	$10.89