Will fewer than 40 tornadoes occur in the United States in August 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.36. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.14 to 0.44. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	136	136
0.63	5	141
0.79	40	181
0.80	5	186
0.90	56	243
0.91	33	276
0.95	10	286
0.97	50	336
0.98	21	357
0.99	111	468

Spread0.51Mid0.36

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	65	65
0.10	16	81
0.04	5	86
0.01	23	108

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	65	65
0.90	16	81
0.96	5	86
0.99	23	108

Spread0.51Mid0.64

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	136	136
0.37	5	141
0.21	40	181
0.20	5	186
0.10	56	243
0.09	33	276
0.05	10	286
0.03	50	336
0.02	21	357
0.01	111	468

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x7Af0c6129fC06eEbECb709eb7A05436742e8EF23-1782746629039	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	20
MayWeatherstappen	Yes	7.38
Numitus1994	Yes	5.05
0xa5ef…2966	No	52.42

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:14:15	BUY	Yes	0.2599999133	7	$1.92
20:55:05	SELL	Yes	0.153225	20	$3.06
20:55:05	BUY	No	0.95	12	$11.81
20:54:58	BUY	No	0.79	8	$5.98
20:54:58	BUY	No	0.9399999968	12	$11.68