PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xfc3715d9661d66c6a14739b3ffd6601a513cec40

Realised P&L
$0.25
Volume
$15.31
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$7.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6701.000$1.49+$0.49
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.6300.875$1.39+$0.39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7700.825$1.07+$0.07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6900.730$1.06+$0.06
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.585$0.99$0.01
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3900.330$0.85$0.15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.375$0.49$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:23Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-04 03:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.77$1.00
08-03 19:20US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-03 10:03Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.25 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
08-02 20:30Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-02 01:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.77$1.00
08-01 16:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-01 01:55Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-31 17:41Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00