0xfbf518c9cf3c5abd3fb0ad1dee087623f6a151f6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.82
- Volume
- $40.95
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $18.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.795 | $3.05 | +$0.86 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.905 | $3.05 | +$0.86 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $2.84 | +$0.65 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.565 | $2.58 | +$0.39 |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · No | 0.330 | 0.345 | $2.29 | +$0.10 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.500 | $2.04 | +$0.00 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.500 | $2.04 | −$0.04 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.115 | $0.93 | −$1.26 |
| Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.19 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 01:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 17:43 | Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.3299999307 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 09:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999137 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 08-02 09:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999271 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 23:32 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6499999406 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 15:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7699997961 | $2.19 |
| 08-01 06:04 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 22:04 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |