PolyBot

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Traders

0xfbf518c9cf3c5abd3fb0ad1dee087623f6a151f6

Realised P&L
$-0.82
Volume
$40.95
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$18.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5700.795$3.05+$0.86
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6500.905$3.05+$0.86
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7701.000$2.84+$0.65
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.4800.565$2.58+$0.39
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · No0.3300.345$2.29+$0.10
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · Yes0.5000.500$2.04+$0.00
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes0.5100.500$2.04$0.04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2700.115$0.93$1.26
Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6400.000$0.00$2.19

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 01:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.48$2.19
08-03 17:43Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.3299999307$2.19
08-03 09:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2699999137$2.19
08-02 23:20Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.64$2.19
08-02 09:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5699999271$2.19
08-01 23:32Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6499999406$2.19
08-01 15:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7699997961$2.19
08-01 06:04Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-31 22:04Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04