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m.gringo

0xfaa1a630a1d1cd0dfad7bd5def26aad40ff1bf41

Realised P&L
$150.18
Volume
$14.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$29.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.182$23.15$7.85
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1100.115$4.03+$0.17
Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? · No0.8700.505$2.32$1.68
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.3640.055$0.09$0.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 13:51Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.27$6.16
08-07 13:45Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.11$1.65
08-06 04:52Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.14$0.02
08-06 04:50Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.14$8.81
08-03 04:45Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.34$5.10
08-02 13:02Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.1736781114$25.00
07-31 06:10Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026?BUY0.87$4.00
07-30 05:12Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
07-30 05:12Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?SELL0.36$5.67
07-27 19:14Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8899998861$5.00
07-27 09:50Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999842$40.00
07-23 11:30Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6570853482$70.00
07-23 07:49Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1979999861$10.00
07-23 07:48Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6313144923$38.42
07-23 07:48Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.6339265467$25.72