0xfa67a149b889d81e59f304bc92ce8c0bf4e8e2c6
- Realised P&L
- $2.52
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $84.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.280Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.100Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.190Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.100Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- +$0.35at 0.140Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 06:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.05 |
| 04-27 09:57 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 04-27 05:11 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.02 |
| 04-26 20:52 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.05 |
| 04-26 18:39 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.07 |
| 04-26 18:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $1.05 |
| 04-26 18:33 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.09 |
| 04-26 18:26 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 04-26 18:07 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.03 |
| 04-26 18:01 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.07 |
| 04-26 18:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.13 | $1.05 |
| 04-26 17:46 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.05 |
| 04-26 17:35 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.092 | $1.04 |
| 04-26 17:28 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.04 |
| 04-26 17:24 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |