0xfA2a22b98802F78418e90f4e825edd64940A72A6-1769885971135
0xfa2a22b98802f78418e90f4e825edd64940a72a6
- Realised P&L
- $-110.27
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $228.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.800 | 0.825 | $206.25 | +$6.25 |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.820 | $22.00 | +$0.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$83.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.30at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$2.67at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$0.90at 0.730Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.730Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?
- +$0.00at 0.730US recession by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:38 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.819999965 | $22.00 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $200.00 |
| 02-06 09:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $82.92 |
| 02-06 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | SELL | 0.88 | $83.60 |
| 02-06 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $69.69 |
| 02-06 09:18 | Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | SELL | 0.5193426381 | $60.28 |
| 02-06 09:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $7.86 |
| 02-05 08:32 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 02-05 08:32 | Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | BUY | 0.7635896164 | $81.00 |
| 02-03 20:04 | Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 02-03 20:04 | Will the RSF capture El Obeid by March 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 02-03 20:04 | Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31? | SELL | 0.74044 | $7.40 |
| 02-03 20:04 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 02-03 20:04 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 02-03 20:04 | Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |