PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

heavenoftrades

0xf8849b21a6a76986196cad1f07446dfa1cf1a533

Realised P&L
$43.54
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$370.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.875$149.15$0.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5200.585$22.50+$2.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7700.795$20.65+$0.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8800.895$20.34+$0.34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees · St. Louis Cardinals0.3900.395$20.26+$0.26
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.865$19.89$0.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers0.6500.645$19.85$0.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5 · Over0.3900.385$19.74$0.26
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6600.620$18.79$1.21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.3800.335$17.63$2.37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7380.842$11.40+$1.40
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8840.931$10.54+$0.54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.915$9.95$0.05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5800.575$9.91$0.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:112026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.879999993$50.00
08-04 04:112026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8799999951$100.00
08-04 04:10St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesBUY0.3899999902$20.00
08-04 04:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5799999861$10.00
08-04 04:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.3799999951$20.00
08-04 04:07Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8699999791$20.00
08-04 04:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7699999815$20.00
08-04 04:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
08-04 04:06Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.6499999935$20.00
08-04 04:05Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5BUY0.389999986$10.00
08-04 04:05Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5BUY0.389999986$10.00
08-04 04:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8799999965$20.00
07-30 04:51Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?BUY0.9839999999$156.00
07-30 04:50Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?BUY0.2882011448$10.00
07-26 11:14Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.01$0.94