0xf6C3955366511Ad8D06b7017e5F65152dEeA5928-1775197030575
0xf6c3955366511ad8d06b7017e5f65152deea5928
- Realised P&L
- $-775.87
- Volume
- $231.7k
- Markets traded
- 606
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded606
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.99at 0.346Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$75.95at 0.938US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$70.21at 0.938Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?
- +$64.57at 0.973US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$62.73at 0.965Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $81.48 |
| 08-06 05:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $134.64 |
| 08-06 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 08-05 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 08-05 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $39.55 |
| 08-05 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $354.64 |
| 08-05 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.99 | $475.20 |
| 08-05 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $64.68 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $164.84 |
| 08-04 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $249.25 |
| 08-04 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $79.64 |
| 08-04 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $66.33 |
| 08-03 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9958181818 | $164.31 |
| 08-03 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.81 |