CosmooKramer
0xf5ba73e13697872633ea3d20076a1d91135a5b5e
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $294.3k
- Markets traded
- 326
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded326
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$465.23at 0.817US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$449.94at 0.689Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$254.76at 0.966Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$209.04at 0.810 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$178.08at 0.806Iran leadership change by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $920.00 |
| 08-01 17:33 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 08-01 17:01 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $750.00 |
| 08-01 15:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 08-01 15:01 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 07-31 23:37 | Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 07-31 19:12 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.34 |
| 07-31 19:07 | Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.42 |
| 07-31 19:07 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.88 |
| 07-31 19:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $635.73 |
| 07-31 16:01 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.461 | $4.61 |
| 07-31 15:52 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.035 | $3.50 |
| 07-31 15:50 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 07-30 18:12 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.53 | $16.96 |
| 07-30 00:34 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $380.00 |