Po1yBot-ybQi0XclL2
0xf5b3f38b3cfc9101f80621d27fd8448867fc4d69
- Realised P&L
- $98.45
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $221.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · No | 0.560 | 0.905 | $63.99 | +$24.39 |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.595 | $56.63 | +$7.14 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.345 | $34.15 | −$5.45 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.042 | $31.13 | +$1.13 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No | 0.400 | 0.435 | $21.75 | +$1.75 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.160 | $13.33 | −$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.46at 0.170Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 4, 2026?
- +$75.83at 0.094Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$57.64at 0.306US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$38.52at 0.370Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?
- +$37.14at 0.500Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 13:53 | Iran closes its airspace by May 8? | SELL | 0.0387778215 | $16.74 |
| 05-04 20:35 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.73 |
| 04-28 13:21 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $46.22 |
| 04-14 20:49 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14? | BUY | 0.32 | $18.42 |
| 04-13 14:49 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 04-12 04:56 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | SELL | 0.29 | $25.33 |
| 04-10 10:32 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.09 |
| 04-08 10:43 | Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.16 |
| 04-08 10:27 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.82 |
| 04-08 09:55 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | SELL | 0.418 | $66.03 |
| 04-08 09:40 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $14.85 |
| 04-07 21:34 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | SELL | 0.1139993536 | $21.16 |
| 04-07 21:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $29.70 |
| 04-07 17:16 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $16.66 |
| 04-07 00:13 | Pistons vs. Magic | SELL | 0.21 | $14.50 |