PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cedt0n

0xf0fbca0d79aef4df5d7d7de764f3c253b56b5530

Realised P&L
$3.22
Volume
$51.3k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.982$1.2k$1.90
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.8200.635$49.62$14.45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.935$1.14+$0.14
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.8400.945$1.12+$0.12
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.955$1.11+$0.11
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.7800.865$1.11+$0.11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8700.945$1.09+$0.09
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.8800.955$1.09+$0.09
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No0.9200.989$1.07+$0.07
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9451.000$1.06+$0.06
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.9330.986$1.06+$0.06
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8700.905$1.04+$0.04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9240.956$1.03+$0.03
GRVT FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.9681.000$1.03+$0.03
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9600.987$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-16 16:04Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?SELL0.997$3.1k
05-14 06:58Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$608.17
05-13 19:31Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$937.18
05-13 14:19Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$777.66
05-13 07:43Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$747.75
05-10 09:58Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.984$5.0k
05-09 09:50Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.987$157.92
05-09 09:50Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.986$34.51
05-09 09:50Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.985$58.71
05-09 09:49Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.984$8.09
05-08 09:34Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.984$565.00
05-05 09:02Will Iran legalize gay marriage?BUY0.9779998494$1.00
05-05 09:01Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.8699992344$1.00
05-05 09:01Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?BUY0.9799991572$1.00
05-05 09:00Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?BUY0.984$1.00