PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SpodermanS

0xf0cfaee284dcc42be36f8c50963a9510f7b15acc

Realised P&L
$-13.86
Volume
$924.02
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$36.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes0.3170.700$21.51+$11.77
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? · Yes0.0700.053$8.10$2.59
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yes0.1500.235$1.93+$0.70
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1600.145$1.81$0.19
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.5200.675$1.30+$0.30
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yes0.2900.155$1.07$0.93
Will Twice release a song in 2026? · Yes0.9000.613$0.68$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 00:03Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.2899999275$2.00
06-26 23:19Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.52$1.00
06-21 18:02Games Total: O/U 3.5SELL0.05$0.13
06-21 14:39Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.59999994$2.00
06-20 21:08Games Total: O/U 3.5BUY0.75$2.00
06-20 20:49Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.59$8.43
06-20 17:00Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.4199998236$1.00
06-20 15:36Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.999$1.69
06-20 13:35Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.429999828$1.00
06-19 23:26Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.5899998466$1.00
06-19 23:24Games Total: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$2.17
06-19 22:54Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?SELL0.06$0.13
06-19 17:54Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.4599997608$1.00
06-19 17:50Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSELL0.9$1.20
06-18 22:32Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.75$1.00