0xee1ca8e1f363f646ede8cb4bbe3c929a8a0551b9
- Realised P&L
- $-70.39
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $85.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.84at 0.250Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$9.69at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
- +$7.66at 0.570Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$6.18at 0.620Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of July 6 2026?
- +$4.75at 0.240Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999045 | $1.81 |
| 08-01 20:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.3799999951 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 12:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999343 | $2.13 |
| 08-01 03:53 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.69 |
| 07-31 19:52 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.59 |
| 07-31 11:51 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.27 |
| 07-29 22:45 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 21:28 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5019999626 | $1.53 |
| 07-28 13:23 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.08 |
| 07-27 19:36 | Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.62 | $1.86 |
| 07-27 05:08 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of July 27 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.04 |
| 07-26 17:07 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-26 05:07 | Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.6899999884 | $10.08 |
| 07-25 17:07 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 05:06 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999749 | $5.07 |