0xed74b63af208fbaf5cb489603857df50786c5c30
- Realised P&L
- $-1.86
- Volume
- $89.95
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $20.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.980 | $3.92 | +$1.88 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.985 | $3.74 | +$1.27 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.905 | $3.39 | +$0.92 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.515 | $3.35 | +$0.88 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.962 | $3.35 | +$0.88 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.340 | $1.39 | −$0.24 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No | 0.240 | 0.095 | $0.98 | −$1.49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.770 | 0.165 | $0.53 | −$1.94 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.029 | $0.30 | −$2.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.600Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?
- +$1.13at 0.630Will Warsh say "Restrictive" during July Press Conference?
- +$0.97at 0.640Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:34 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.65 | $2.47 |
| 08-04 20:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.47 |
| 08-04 20:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.2339999397 | $2.47 |
| 08-04 12:43 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.73 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.2399999417 | $2.47 |
| 08-03 20:15 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.04 |
| 08-03 12:11 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $2.47 |
| 08-03 04:10 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999655 | $2.47 |
| 08-02 19:39 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5099999257 | $2.47 |
| 08-02 10:16 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.63 |
| 08-02 01:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.7699999782 | $2.47 |
| 08-01 17:13 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.6599999519 | $2.47 |
| 08-01 05:12 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999257 | $2.47 |
| 07-31 21:10 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.83 |