PolyBot

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Traders

0xed74b63af208fbaf5cb489603857df50786c5c30

Realised P&L
$-1.86
Volume
$89.95
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$20.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.5100.980$3.92+$1.88
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.6500.985$3.74+$1.27
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6600.905$3.39+$0.92
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3800.515$3.35+$0.88
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7100.962$3.35+$0.88
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.4000.340$1.39$0.24
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.2400.095$0.98$1.49
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.165$0.53$1.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.2340.029$0.30$2.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 05:34SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.65$2.47
08-04 20:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.38$2.47
08-04 20:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2339999397$2.47
08-04 12:43Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.64$1.73
08-04 04:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.2399999417$2.47
08-03 20:15Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $144 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.51$2.04
08-03 12:11Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $142 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.65$2.47
08-03 04:10Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7099999655$2.47
08-02 19:39Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5099999257$2.47
08-02 10:16Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4$1.63
08-02 01:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7699999782$2.47
08-01 17:13Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6599999519$2.47
08-01 05:12Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999257$2.47
07-31 21:10New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-31 13:09Will Trump say "Coal" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6$1.83